The Economy has been growing so fast that growth during 2017 and 2018 were pushed back to 2016 and before. Seasonal factors and revisions matter. The Monthly Employment Situation Report, or Jobs Report, is created using two data sets: The Current Employment Statistics (CES) worker data and the […]
The current ‘crisis’ in Ukraine that the MSM is not talking about, is a pretty decent remake of the start of the cold war. The end of the second world war brought the rivalry between the West and East back to the forefront. The establishment of a post-war […]
Congress seems to be intent on wasting The People’s time with Impeachment, yet more Gun control, an emergency shutdown recall, legalizing Pot, and justifying Infanticide. GET REAL ALREADY! Barring a disaster of biblical proportions, Trump is likely to win reelection in 2020. After which, in 2024, Mike Pence […]
What About the Revisions to the data? The ADP Payroll report is released the Wednesday prior to the monthly government Employment Situation Report. The headline ADP number is the seasonally adjusted payroll gains or losses. The headline Employment Situation number is the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) number. The NFP […]
Fourth Quarter GDP was not impacted by the Government Shutdown There were a number of pundits who thought that he fourth quarter GDP might be negatively impacted by the Government Shutdown. This column produced one article “Government Shutdown May Not Show Up in Government Data,” and a second […]
This column published an article “December Real Estate Surprise Forecasted” projecting the potential outcomes of the December New Construction data, the December New Home Sales Data, and the December Existing Home Sales data. December Starts have been sluggish for years – they may surprise to the upside.There is […]
Movie buffs may remember the heartbreaking scene in the 1939 film, “The Hunchback of Notre Dame,” where the disabled protagonist, Quasimodo, played by Charles Laughton, saves the beautiful gypsy girl, Esmeralda from certain death, by taking her to the cathedral and demanding the church grant them sanctuary. Quasimodo […]
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